AGR ELECTION DESKARJUN GERALD RAMACHANDRAN • @ARJUNGERALDRAMA
AGRARJUN GERALD RAMACHANDRANELECTION GRAPHICS DESK@ARJUNGERALDRAMA
ALL 100 PROJECTED SEATS • ALL 50 STATES2026 U.S. SENATE CONTROL MAPSAVED JUL 25, 2026 • POLYMARKET
DEMOCRATIC-ALIGNED 5051 FOR A MAJORITY50 REPUBLICAN
50–50 • VICE PRESIDENT BREAKS ORGANIZING TIES
Alaska: Mary Peltola 58.5% vs Dan Sullivan 42.0% • AGR-RC-HBF7-V6ZZAKAlabama: Everett Wess 4.5% vs Barry Moore 94.5% • AGR-RC-8PBX-1PKXALArkansas: Hallie Shoffner 3.2% vs Tom Cotton 94.0% • AGR-RC-SQCA-J9BBARArizona: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardAZCalifornia: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardCAColorado: John Hickenlooper 93.5% vs Mark Baisley 5.5% • AGR-RC-CXJY-WC42COConnecticut: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardCTDelaware: Chris Coons 94.5% vs Michael Katz 5.5% • AGR-RC-GHAV-T6ZZDEFlorida: Alexander Vindman 12.5% vs Ashley Moody 88.5% • AGR-RC-CM4Y-HTD3FLGeorgia: Jon Ossoff 86.5% vs Mike Collins 13.6% • AGR-RC-WDZB-9S3JGAHawaii: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardHIIowa: Josh Turek 42.0% vs Ashley Hinson 58.0% • AGR-RC-86R2-SKWBIAIdaho: David Roth 5.5% vs Jim Risch 93.0% • AGR-RC-THX9-H5X2IDIllinois: Juliana Stratton 94.0% vs Don Tracy 6.0% • AGR-RC-KR5M-R3QGILIndiana: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardINKansas: Adam Hamilton 17.5% vs Roger Marshall 80.0% • AGR-RC-8JRP-6PDKKSKentucky: Charles Booker 6.1% vs Andy Barr 92.4% • AGR-RC-F7EA-YQCRKYLouisiana: Jamie Davis Jr. 7.5% vs Julia Letlow 92.5% • AGR-RC-SX0C-V2SBLAMassachusetts: Ed Markey 94.5% vs John Deaton 3.9% • AGR-RC-EF1B-ZBV5MAMaryland: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardMDMaine: Troy Jackson 68.0% vs Susan Collins 32.5% • AGR-RC-972N-HSV3MEMichigan: Abdul El-Sayed 69.0% vs Mike Rogers 31.5% • AGR-RC-SMXD-V519MIMinnesota: Peggy Flanagan 93.5% vs Michele Tafoya 6.5% • AGR-RC-RVDB-EJQGMNMissouri: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardMOMississippi: Scott Colom 9.5% vs Cindy Hyde-Smith 91.5% • AGR-RC-7R4Z-P0TEMSMontana: Alani Bankhead 0.9% vs Kurt Alme 89.0% • AGR-RC-QJN2-8A3QMTNorth Carolina: Roy Cooper 86.5% vs Michael Whatley 13.5% • AGR-RC-MJM0-5C3HNCNorth Dakota: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardNDNebraska: No Democratic candidate 0.3% vs Pete Ricketts 72.0% • AGR-RC-SMQA-ZNYGNENew Hampshire: Chris Pappas 84.5% vs John E. Sununu 16.5% • AGR-RC-5FPF-RRZ8NHNew Jersey: Cory Booker 93.5% vs Justin Murphy 4.6% • AGR-RC-RWRX-JSACNJNew Mexico: Ben Ray Luján 93.5% vs Larry E. Marker 4.0% • AGR-RC-TT52-WKEFNMNevada: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardNVNew York: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardNYOhio: Sherrod Brown 49.0% vs Jon Husted 51.5% • AGR-RC-0RN3-ZF0XOHOklahoma: N’Kiyla Thomas 4.6% vs Kevin Hern 94.0% • AGR-RC-S17Q-Q0A9OKOregon: Jeff Merkley 94.5% vs David Brock Smith 5.5% • AGR-RC-25FA-YJ2PORPennsylvania: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardPARhode Island: Jack Reed 94.0% vs Raymond McKay 5.0% • AGR-RC-SP6H-8EMDRISouth Carolina: Annie Andrews 11.5% vs Darline Graham Nordone 89.5% • AGR-RC-W1FS-NWQSSCSouth Dakota: Julian C. Beaudion 6.4% vs Mike Rounds 94.0% • AGR-RC-CPTY-KXG8SDTennessee: Marquita Bradshaw 2.6% vs Bill Hagerty 94.1% • AGR-RC-FTPK-C1R0TNTexas: James Talarico 43.5% vs Ken Paxton 56.5% • AGR-RC-3QQH-A0HBTXUtah: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardUTVirginia: Mark Warner 93.5% vs Bert Mizusawa 6.5% • AGR-RC-P9BW-AWHEVAVermont: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardVTWashington: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardWAWisconsin: no 2026 race • delegation carries forwardWIWest Virginia: Rachel Fetty Anderson 1.7% vs Shelley Moore Capito 94.7% • AGR-RC-M06Y-9XKRWVWyoming: James W. Byrd 2.3% vs Harriet Hageman 94.2% • AGR-RC-RZQT-QNEWWY
DIRECT CONTROL MARKETD 43.5%R 55.5%Separate from the favorites-only 100-seat map
TWO D-ALIGNED SPLIT DELEGATION TWO REPUBLICANS 2026 ELECTION
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